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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Canada is considering imposing export taxes on uranium and oil to counter Trump's tariff threat. Canada is studying imposing export taxes on major commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash fertilizer, if Donald Trump fulfills the comprehensive tariff threat. Officials familiar with the internal discussions of Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau's government said that the export tax would be Canada's last resort. According to people familiar with the matter, retaliatory tariffs on goods made in the United States and export controls on some Canadian products are more likely to come first.The international crude oil settlement price fell slightly. As of the close of the 12th, the light crude oil futures price for January delivery in the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by 27 cents to close at 70.02 US dollars per barrel, a decrease of 0.38%. London Brent crude oil futures for February delivery in 2025 fell 11 cents to close at $73.41 a barrel, a decrease of 0.15%.

Financial institutions are in full swing, and a new round of "staking the land" is just around the corner. Recently, five departments jointly issued the Notice on the Full Implementation of the Personal Pension System. China securities journal reporter learned that when the personal pension system is fully rolled out, banks, insurance and other financial institutions with exhibition qualifications are already in full swing to prepare for the upgrading and optimization of personal pension business, and a new round of bank account opening, deposit and agency sales is about to start, and the product reserves of various financial institutions will also reach a new level. (CSI)New york Fed said Neil would return to work in the private sector.Onshore RMB against the US dollar (CNY) closed at 7.2700 yuan at 03:00 Beijing time, down 85 points from Wednesday night's close. The turnover was $42.042 billion.

The yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached 1.8%. On December 12, the bond market continued its strong market, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds approached the important mark of 1.8%, and the short-term interest rate bonds appeared to make up the market. Analysts believe that the downside of the current policy interest rate is open, and the market interest rate may accelerate to a balanced low. At the same time, the market is gradually overdrawn, and the institution advises investors to pay attention to the allocation value of local government bonds and rationally arrange the trend investment opportunities at the end of the year and the beginning of the year. (SSE)The Israeli army said that it "seriously damaged" the Syrian air defense system and destroyed more than 90% of its surface-to-air missiles. The Israel Defense Forces issued a statement on the 12th that it had "seriously damaged" the Syrian air defense system and destroyed more than 90% of the identified surface-to-air missiles. The statement said that in recent weeks, the Israel Defense Forces have been conducting a comprehensive assessment of the situation in Syria. The Israeli Air Force has formulated a "comprehensive strike plan" aimed at destroying Syria's powerful military capabilities in the face of escalating regional tensions. In the past few days, hundreds of Israeli air force fighters and other aircraft launched coordinated strikes, which dealt a major blow to Syria's "most strategic weapon system."Trump: For me, the stock market is everything. US President-elect Trump rang the opening bell on the new york Stock Exchange on Thursday, and he was named the person of the year in 2024 by Time magazine. After ringing the bell, Trump said in an interview, "If you don't produce (goods) here (in the United States), you have to pay 21% tax. If you produce here, we will try to reduce the tax rate to 15%. You must produce your products in the United States. " Trump also attributed the recent rise in the stock market to his defeat of Biden (not Harris). "I have always said that for me, the stock market is everything. This is very important. " He also revealed that after returning to the White House, he will establish closer ties with some of the richest and most influential people.